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Next week, the first full trading week of March, macroeconomic concerns will take center stage for investors. Next week, the Fed chief is largely anticipated to stick to the same talking points in testifying before Congress. In fact, the February jobs report, due out next Friday, is expected to show a moderation in payroll gains. Hourly Earnings preliminary (February) 8:30 a.m. Average Workweek preliminary (February) 8:30 a.m. Manufacturing Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Nonfarm Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Private Nonfarm Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Unemployment Rate (February) — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox and Yun Li contributed to this report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Shannon Saccocia, Kim Forrest, Webull, Michael Hartnett, CNBC's Yun Li, Melissa Brown, Brown, Wealth's Saccocia, Saccocia, Nonfarm Payrolls, , Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox, Yun Li Organizations: Federal, Fed, Capitol, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, FactSet, Barclays, Bokeh Capital Partners, Labor Department, Bitcoin, BofA Global Research, Apple, Nvidia, Ross Stores, Costco Wholesale, Kroger, . Semiconductor, Broadcom, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Ross, Target, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S, REITs, Japan
Surprise! Inflation Rises to Start the Year
  + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Tim Smart | Feb. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +5 min
Still, that is considerably below where inflation was in 2022 and much of last year. Along with the health of the labor market, the Fed considers inflation among the key economic data points to watch as it looks to start cutting interest rates this year. “If inflation comes in below expectation, the markets will cheer the welcome news that the economy and the job market can remain solid without increasing inflation. On Friday, more inflation data will be released with the January producer price index – a measure of what businesses pay for the products and services they sell. The PPI is often a predictor of future inflation as it shows prices that are early in the pipeline and often passed on to consumers.
Persons: , Skyler Weinand, Regan, Venkat Balakrishnan, Jerome Powell, , Dan North, “ Powell, Melissa Brown, Signifyd, ” Signifyd Organizations: Labor, Federal Reserve, Dow, Industrial, Regan Capital, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Allianz Trade, , PPI Locations: North America
The business group’s consumer confidence index rose to 114.8 from a revised 108 in December. The present situation Index – a measure of current business and labor market conditions – surged to 161.3 from 147.2 last month. And it comes as the Federal Reserve is meeting in Washington to set interest rate policy, with economists forecasting the central bank will hold interest rates steady. But, he adds, “The Fed’s not going to change” at its first meeting of 2024 that began on Tuesday and do anything other than hold interest rates steady for the fourth meeting in a row. The index often leads other consumer sentiment surveys by two to three months, says Legal Shield CEO Warren Schlichting.
Persons: , Dana Peterson, Stephen Rich, Melissa Brown, Jerome Powell, Gene Goldman, Warren Schlichting, Schlichting, it’s Organizations: Conference, Mutual of America Capital Management, Federal Reserve, Investment Management, , Labor Department, ADP Locations: U.S, Washington
Rather, asset managers increasingly position these as now a feature of global investing choices rather than all-consuming shocks per se. Likely for the same reason, geopolitical risk monitors are at their highest in over 18 months too. Ebbing demand from a Chinese economy hobbled by property busts and a foreign investment withdrawal due to U.S. investment curbs also hurts. The VIX (.VIX) index of U.S. stock volatility is currently five points below its historic average 19 - and even July VIX futures hover on that mean. The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for ReutersReporting by Mike Dolan Editing by Mark PotterOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: there's, Washington's, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, What's, Melissa Brown, Axioma, Andrew McCaffery, Mike Dolan, Mark Potter Organizations: Bank of, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, Barclays, Global CIO, Fidelity, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Israel, United States, India, Taiwan, Mexico, Britain, Gaza, Russia, China, Wall
LEWISTON, Maine (AP) — Sunshine and a sense of relief swept through central Maine on Saturday with word that a man who was on the loose for two days after authorities said he killed 18 people had been found dead. Political Cartoons View All 1223 Images“This situation brought that back up in our minds, and brought back all those traumatic feelings. And then we had traumatic feelings now for this new place that we call home,” Brown said. “Our hearts are heavy for everyone involved.”One family of four from southern Maine spent Saturday afternoon handing out flowers to strangers in downtown Lewiston. We’re all making sure we get help for our children and help for ourselves.”___Ramer reporter from Concord, New Hampshire.
Persons: Robert Card, , Jim Howaniec, , ” Melissa Brown, ” Brown, it’s, Gabe Hirst, Gray, Christal Pele, Tammy Asselin, Toni, Asselin, ___, Michelle R, Smith Organizations: Lewiston, Washington , D.C, Associated Press Locations: LEWISTON , Maine, Maine, Lewiston, Lisbon, Washington ,, Concord , New Hampshire
Some investors are betting on rate cuts as soon as early next year, perhaps on expectations that the economy might soon deteriorate. If unemployment spikes because of higher interest rates, for example, the Fed would likely cut rates to stem job losses under its mandate of maximum employment. The Fed’s tough talk has rattled the bond market, helping push up long-dated yields. In addition to the possibility of cutting rates because of an economic downturn, the Fed could also cut rates if inflation slows too much. “If the Fed sees that inflation goes below the 2% target, they could start decreasing interest rates, but I don’t think they are going to start decreasing interest rates until that happens,” said Eugenio Alemán, chief economist at Raymond James.
Persons: there’s, Rather, Austan Goolsbee, Mike Hackett, they’ve, , Eugenio Alemán, Raymond James, Melissa Brown, China’s ‘ Lehman, Laura, Mengchen Zhang, Technology —, Zhongrong, Read, Thomas Barkin, Michelle Bowman, Kansas City Fed’s, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Treasury, Nationwide, CNN, Fed, Service, KBC Corporation, Xianheng, Science, Technology, National Association of Realtors, Body, Nvidia, Kansas City, Global, US Commerce Department, Labor Department, Central Bank Locations: Washington, , China, BJ’s, Abercrombie, Kansas
[1/2] A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 24, 2023. Microsoft (MSFT.O) eased 4.0% after laying out an aggressive spending plan to meet demand for its new artificial intelligence (AI)-powered services. "This is indicative of the selectivity we are seeing in big tech after such a stock price surge so far this year." Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.50-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.32-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 24 new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 58 new highs and 64 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, David Bahnsen, Melissa Brown, we're, Dow, Jim Vena, Lance Fritz, Wells Fargo, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Savio D'Souza, Anil D'Silva, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Microsoft, Boeing, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Google, NYSE, Bahnsen, Facebook, Applied Research, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Dow Jones, Union Pacific, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Qontigo, Bengaluru
"Until we see several months of low or declining inflation, the headline number is still going to be above the 2% target that the Fed has set. Goldman Sachs on Friday raised its year-end price target for the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) to 4,500 from 4,000, citing the broadening of the market rally. Oracle (ORCL.N) advanced 4.3%, hitting an all-time high as J.P. Morgan hiked its price target to $109, ahead of the cloud and enterprise software firm's fourth-quarter results later in the day. Technology stocks (.SPLRCT) led gains among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 while energy stocks (.SPNY) fell 0.5%, tracking a decline in crude prices. Adobe (ADBE.O) shares gained 1.6% after Jefferies increased the Photoshop maker's price target to $530, the second highest on Wall Street.
Persons: Melissa Brown, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, Thoma, Jefferies, Shristi Achar, Sruthi Shankar, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Oracle Corp, U.S, Labor, Traders, Oracle, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Inc, Thoma Bravo, FDA, NYSE, Thomson Locations: megacap, Bengaluru
"It's a knife edge between whether we're going to teeter into a recession or have a soft landing. said Brown who also noted that moves may be exaggerated as many investors take vacation around the end-of-year holidays. Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.80-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.63-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted 5 new 52-week highs and 20 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 66 new highs and 456 new lows. On U.S. exchanges 11.07 billion shares changed hands, compared with the 11.59 billion average for the last 20 trading days.
Fed delivers fourth 75 bp hike, signals scale-back coming
  + stars: | 2022-11-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
This statement clearly suggests input from Vice Chair Brainard and opens the door for the Fed to slow down the pace of future rate hikes. Monetary policy today is not sufficiently tight enough. We’ll know when the Fed is done tightening; they’ll tell us by simply saying that monetary policy is sufficiently restrictive. “The last thing we need to see regarding what the Fed will do in the short run is the election. If there’s a sense that fiscal policy will be more cooperative with monetary policy, it will make the Fed’s job easier.”Compiled by the Global Finance & Markets Breaking News teamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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